DFW Housing Market Alert: Prices Falling as Sellers Outnumber Buyers
Overview The American housing landscape is experiencing a remarkable transformation in 2025, with an extraordinary imbalance between property sellers and
The Dallas-Fort Worth housing market is experiencing a significant transformation as we move deeper into 2025. A dramatic surge in housing inventory across the metroplex has pushed many counties into buyer’s market territory—a stark contrast to the seller’s market dominance we’ve witnessed in recent years.
With months of inventory rising substantially across all counties, buyers now have leverage they haven’t enjoyed in years. In fact, 66% of homes sold under list price in March 2025, signaling a decisive shift in market dynamics.
The First American Data & Analytics HPI reveals a nuanced market with price variations across different market segments:
This segmentation shows that while the luxury market remains resilient, entry-level and mid-market homes are experiencing price corrections—creating both opportunities and challenges depending on your position in the market.
Housing inventory has reached remarkable levels across Texas. In January 2025, inventory bottomed at 102,552 homes—higher than the PEAK inventory in 2017 (96,644) and comparable to the peak in 2018 (104,453).
By April 2025, listings surged to 123,000, representing a 53% increase above normal levels. According to Nick Gerli, CEO of Reventure App, Texas now ranks as the fourth most oversupplied housing market in the United States.
Collin County shows the most pronounced price correction among all counties, with median prices down 3.7% and inventory up over 60%.
With inventory up 63% and showing activity down significantly, Denton County has shifted firmly into balanced market territory.
Though prices remain stable, Tarrant County is seeing inventory growth and reduced buyer activity.
Dallas County shows modest price growth but significantly more inventory and longer selling times.
Rockwall County has moved firmly into buyer’s market territory with nearly six months of inventory and significantly longer selling times.
Despite stable prices, Kaufman County is experiencing significant inventory growth and a shift toward buyer-favorable conditions.
With over six months of inventory, Hunt County has transitioned fully into a buyer’s market, offering significant opportunities for home purchasers.
With most counties now in balanced or buyer’s market territory and 66% of homes selling below list price, you have negotiating power not seen in years. Consider:
The hyper-competitive seller’s market is behind us. To succeed in today’s environment:
As we move through summer 2025, expect inventory levels to continue climbing, putting further downward pressure on prices in most segments. The Dallas-Fort Worth correction appears to be accelerating, particularly in the starter and mid-tier home categories.
While the region’s strong economic fundamentals and continued population growth will prevent a housing collapse, the current trajectory suggests buyers will continue gaining advantage throughout 2025. For homeowners and investors, focusing on long-term value rather than short-term price fluctuations remains the wisest strategy in this evolving market.
Overview The American housing landscape is experiencing a remarkable transformation in 2025, with an extraordinary imbalance between property sellers and
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